A recession is a period of economic decline that can hurt the livelihood of millions and by having many recessions throughout history, indicators were found to predict when recessions would occur.
The most significant indicators of a recession are:
I will only discuss the first one.
This is a daily chart of the treasury yield curve rates. The first highlighted box going from left to right are the 3 month interest rates and the second highlighted box are the 10 year interest rates.
A negative spread between 10 year T-bonds and 3 month T-bonds means that if the 3 month rates are greater than the 10 year rates, it creates a negative spread and could trigger an economic downturn.
My name is Camden Alchanati and my goal is to teach you how to create a future of financial stability and growth!